by Steve Eule
The Energy Institute’s Steve Eule continues his look at the Bonn climate talks, which he attended.
One of the big issues facing negotiators is whether and how the two negotiating tracks—one under the Kyoto Protocol (to the U.S. is not a Party) and the other through the overarching Framework Convention. The two groups now can’t formally talk to one another—the groups’ two Chairs are permitted to have a collegial cup of coffee together, but that’s about it.
There’s now the idea being floated for a “common space” for the two groups of negotiators to met and share views on certain issues. Developing countries, in particular, are high on the idea as a way to corral the U.S. into terrain where it would rather not play. But even among developing countries, the idea was not greeted with unanimous support. While the Alliance of Small Island States and certain Latin American countries, such as Bolivia, strongly back the idea, others in the G77/China group don’t. Moreover, the U.S. shown no interest in abandoning its long-held position that it wouldn’t participate, even through a joint mechanism, in the Kyoto talks. U.S. reticence is understandable, given that Kyoto rules could put unrealistic constraints on U.S. legislation.
At a briefing, the Chair of the working group in charge of negotiations under the Convention reported that there the Parties hold a range of different views on the issue. I don’t expect that to change anytime soon.
Free Trade
One issue that keeps popping up in these talks—e.g., on agriculture, adaptation, and the “economic and social consequences of response measures”—is the imposition of trade restrictions as part of climate change mitigation policies. There is a palpable fear among developing countries that developed countries will use their climate measures as a way to impose border adjustments and other anti-trade measures. Speaking on behalf of the G77/China group and joined by many other countries, Argentina urged Parties respect the Framework Convention’s principles (in Article 3.5, for those interested) that countries should not use climate change policies as disguised restrictions on international trade. Clearly, the provisions on competitiveness of U.S industries and international trade in the Waxman-Markey and Kerry-Lieberman bills have gotten their attention, and they are pushing for even stronger language in a new agreement “further elaborating” the language against trade restrictions. The U.S. position, a position shared by many other developed countries, is that the current language on trade in sufficient.
The Chamber has been against trade restrictions that violate the WTO. In our view, carbon tariffs or other measures restricting trade would invite retaliation and a green trade war that could impede global economic growth. We’ll be keeping a close eye on the trade issues as the talks progress.
Aviation & Bunker Fuels
During the discussion on the agricultural sector, many Parties brought into the conversation the issue of emissions from two other sectors—aviation and bunker fuels. Emissions from these sources account for a small but growing source of emissions, and because most of the emissions occur outside country borders, they are an international issue, not a domestic one. The European Union, in particular, has been pushing for a section in the new treaty covering emissions from aviation and shipping. Saudi Arabia felt that this issue was better dealt with by the International Maritime Organization and the International Civil Aviation Organization and that any attempt to include these sources would only “sow distrust.”
A tax on international transport has been proposed as one way to provide financing for climate programs in developing countries, and it will be part of the study being undertaken by the UN Secretary General’s High Level Group on Finance.
Role of Markets
There is a growing recognition in the talks that there’s not enough public money around and that private sources of funding will have to be tapped to support mitigation activities in developing countries, but this is by no means the consensus view. The simple fact is that many developing countries still see government-to-government transfers as a more predictable and preferred way to support mitigation actions in developing countries. Brazil spoke for many when it argued financing of offsets, such as those supported through the Clean Development Mechanism under the Kyoto Protocol, are designed to reduce the cost of mitigation in developed countries. Because these contribute to meeting developed country emissions targets, they should not be considered as finance for developing countries activities, which would be in addition to any offsets. The U.S., EU, Canada, Australia, Japan, Russia, and even some other developing countries supported the use of market-based approaches.
South Africa, representing the G77/China group, suggested setting up a spin-off group that would assess different approaches finance mitigation activities, including carbon markets, specifically how they can be used to complement public spending. Many countries supported this proposal, which now resides with the Chair of the group. Stay tuned.
Technology and IP
The technology section of the draft treaty text—the “Technology Mechanism”—envisages a Technology Executive Committee and a Climate Change Technology Center and Network to promote accelerate technology development and “transfer.” As with so much of these talks, developed and developing countries held opposing views on the functions and structure of Technology Mechanism. I won’t burden you with the details of the discussion on structure and function, but it is worthwhile to note that many developing countries used this as an opportunity to raise the issue of intellectual property protections.
Many developing countries still see intellectual property rights as a barrier to technology transfer, not as an essential prerequisite for technology development. For those of you who have followed this debate in the climate talks, the following will seem sadly familiar. South Africa, representing the Africa Group, voiced its support for a global pool of IPR where access to patented technologies was guaranteed for developing countries. Bolivia went one better—or worse, depending on your perspective—arguing that IPR on climate-change related technologies were essentially dead letter when it came to developing countries addressing climate change. But like the hound that didn’t bark in the Sherlock Holmes story, it was significant China and India did not raise IPR, perhaps recognizing that they are now large and growing producers of IP.
As expected, developed countries had a decided preference against any mention of IPR in the treaty—a position we trust eventually will prevail.
Road to Cancun Going Through China
The negotiating schedule headed to COP-16 Cancun, Mexico is beginning to take shape. The Ad Hoc Working Groups (AWG) on the Kyoto Protocol and on Long Term Cooperative Action under the Convention are scheduled to meet for further talks August 2 through 6 in Bonn, Germany. Though no final decision has been made, China has offered to host a meeting of the AWGs sometime in late September/early October. No city has been named yet, but at this point it looks like it will somewhere other than Beijing.
Looking even further ahead, Asia will play host to COP-18 in 2012, and both Qatar and South Korea have offered to host conference (South Africa is hosting COP-17 in 2011). It’s expected that the two countries will work out a solution bilaterally.